⚑ Joe Mac's ViewpointsEconomics & TradeMarketsMonetary Policy Stagflation at Best In Q1, the US economy contracted for the first time in almost two years. Simultaneously, the yield curve has sent…McAlinden Research PartnersMay 2, 2022
⚑ Joe Mac's ViewpointsCommoditiesEconomics & TradeMonetary PolicyPolitics & PolicyⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries Cutting Off the Punch Bowl If the economy were a party and the Fed its chaperone, the central bank has undoubtedly neglected its responsibilities. By…McAlinden Research PartnersFebruary 28, 2022
★ Daily Intelligence Briefings (DIBs)⦁ Theme TrackerFinanceMarketsMonetary Policy Banking Industry Breakout Stumbles on Weaker Earnings, Flatter Yield Curve US financial sector earnings are in full-swing, but several major banks have posted disappointing results for Q4 2021. Despite strong…McAlinden Research PartnersJanuary 19, 2022
⚑ Joe Mac's Viewpoints⦁ Theme TrackerMarketsMonetary PolicyPolitics & PolicyⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries Bye Bye, Transitory Paired with a double dose of tapering, the FOMC’s latest updating of interest rate projections indicate a much more hawkish…McAlinden Research PartnersDecember 23, 2021
⚑ Joe Mac's Viewpoints⦁ Theme TrackerCommoditiesEconomics & TradeMonetary PolicyPolitics & PolicyⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries The Roaring (Inflation) ‘20s Despite growth in the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation exceeding 3.0% for six consecutive months, a rise unlikely to peak…McAlinden Research PartnersNovember 3, 2021
⚑ Joe Mac's Viewpoints⦁ Theme TrackerⓁ Travel & LeisureⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries Looking Through the Third Wave A third wave of COVID-19 slammed the US economy throughout the summer months, but new case numbers appear to have…McAlinden Research PartnersOctober 6, 2021
⚑ Joe Mac's Viewpoints⦁ Theme TrackerCommoditiesEconomics & TradeⓁ Agricultural CommoditiesMarketsMonetary PolicyⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries Inflation & Valuation Traditionally, multiples like price to earnings ratios (P/Es) run inverse to inflation data. That balance has been completely upended over…McAlinden Research PartnersSeptember 2, 2021
⚑ Joe Mac's Viewpoints⦁ Theme TrackerMonetary PolicyPolitics & PolicyⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries Jay’s Jedi Mind Trick Despite being consistently wrong on inflation throughout all of 2021, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other policymakers at the Fed…McAlinden Research PartnersJuly 30, 2021
⚑ Joe Mac's ViewpointsCommoditiesEconomics & TradeMarketsMonetary Policy When Jay Blinks Despite virtually all measures of inflation showing signs of a continued surge higher, and most of the latest data surpassing…McAlinden Research PartnersMay 28, 2021
⚑ Joe Mac's Viewpoints⦁ Theme TrackerEconomics & TradeMarketsMonetary PolicyⓈ Long-Dated Treasuries How High is “Up”? While the Fed continues to hold short-term rates steady near zero, long-term rates on US Treasuries have surged through the…McAlinden Research PartnersApril 30, 2021