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Weekly Crypto Wrap

Friday, May 26, 2023

Welcome to MRP's Weekly Crypto Wrap, a look back at news reports, on-chain metrics, and other data that moved digital asset markets over the past week. These reports will be delivered every Friday morning, provided free of charge by MRP, and packed with useful information for those just beginning their research into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as well as investors with more experience in digital asset markets.

Click here to see everything we covered in the last iteration of the newsletter.

THEMATIC SIGNALS
Aggregation of key events and breaking stories monitored by MRP

ETPs: Deutsche Digital Assets Launches Physically Backed Multi-Asset Crypto ETP on German Exchange

XRP: Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse Says Judgement on SEC’s XRP Lawsuit To Come ‘In Weeks Not Months’

Tokenization: Tokenized Securities on Ethereum, Polygon, Gnosis Hit $225M Market Cap

Exchanges: Bitpanda Partners With Coinbase to Help Europe’s Banks Offer Crypto to Customers

CBDCs: Visa, Microsoft and others join Brazilian CBDC pilot

ON-CHAIN ANALYTICS
Breaking down the most critical trends and transaction patterns on the blockchain

Digital asset markets continued to lose ground this week, extending a grinding downtrend that has been pervasive since early this month. The total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies remained close to the $1.1 trillion threshold throughout the past seven days, but the unit price of Bitcoin (BTC), the largest digital asset, briefly slipped below $26,000 for the first time in two months. Though BTC recovered to $26,500 by Friday morning and is still up 59.6% in the year-to-date period, its price has fallen -13.1% from 2023 highs near $30,500 in April.


Bitcoin’s May downtrend has not been a particularly volatile one, however. Ecoinometrics notes that BTC’s one-month realized volatility remains within the bottom 20% of the distribution for this halving cycle. As MRP has explained in previous Crypto Wraps, a halving refers to the 50% cut to rewards paid out to miners for “solving” a block of transactions and adding it to the chain of previous blocks (hence, blockchain). Currently, the block reward is 6.25 BTC, but that is down from 12.5 BTC prior to the May 2020 halving. A halving is triggered once every 210,000 blocks, which is approximately four years’ time, and forms the basis for “cycles” in Bitcoin’s history.


The weakness in price volatility coincides with slowing activity and movement of coins by long-term holders. This can be measured by the “liveliness” metric, which increases as addresses that do not transact frequently liquidate positions and decreases when those addresses continue holding onto coins that have not been transacted for some period of time. Glassnode claims network Liveliness descended to its lowest level since December 2020 this week. MacroMicro data indicates the portion of Bitcoin’s supply that has not been transacted in one year or longer reached an all-time high of 68.5% this week.


Liveliness may continue to diminish as more Bitcoin is drawn out of exchanges. The number of BTC deposits on exchanges tracked by Glassnode fell to a three-year low this week, as the two largest daily withdrawals from exchanges this year have occurred just within the last two weeks. CryptoSlate notes that $800 million worth of Bitcoin (equivalent to roughly 26,000 BTC) was taken off Coinbase on May 15 and another $400 million of BTC was drained from exchanges on May 25 – $300 million of which came just from Huobi. Moving funds off exchange into a privately-held wallet device or other form of self-custody solution typically indicates the owner of the assets does not intend to sell them in the near-term, which is why this process is also commonly known as sending to “cold storage”.


Bitcoin remains slightly above its 200-week moving average ($26,237), as well as its realized price ($20,181), the average cost basis at which each unit of BTC was purchased. When Bitcoin is above its realized price, the majority of addresses on the Bitcoin network are in profit, and the further above realized price BTC’s market price goes, the greater that majority is. Though Glassnode data shows the percentage of Bitcoin addresses in profit has fallen to a one-month low in recent days, 65.5% remain in profit.

DIGITAL ASSET DIBs

MRP's latest Daily Intelligence Briefings on everything from BTC to DeFi and NFTs

May 22, 2023: Tether Expands Profits, Dominance, and Bitcoin Holdings as T-Bills and Reverse Repo Become Reserve Standards →

February 22, 2023: Ethereum May Face Contagion from SEC Crackdown on Crypto Exchanges’ Staking Services →

February 14, 2023: Staking Services and Stablecoins in SEC Crosshairs as Crypto Industry Preps for Court Battles →

January 24, 2023: Bitcoin Mining is Back to Profitability, Hash Ribbon Shows Peak Capitulation May Have Finally Passed →

October 18, 2022: Fallout From Ethereum “Merge” Bolsters Bitcoin’s Hash Rate as Some Criticisms Still Linger →

THEMATIC SIGNALS: SUMMARIES

ETPs

Deutsche Digital Assets Launches Physically Backed Multi-Asset Crypto ETP on German Exchange


Deutsche Digital Assets' Crypto Select 10 ETP, trading by ticker symbol SLCT, is the company’s first multi asset tradeable product and will list on Deutsche Börse Xetra in the coming weeks, according to a company statement. It will track MarketVector’s market cap-weighted crypto index that was released on May 15, 2023. The company also announced that its ETP’s assets will be held in Aplo’s institutional-grade custody solution.


Read the full article from Blockworks +

XRP

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse Says Judgement on SEC’s XRP Lawsuit To Come ‘In Weeks Not Months’


In December 2020, Ripple was sued by the SEC on the grounds of allegedly selling XRP as an unregistered security. Per Garlinghouse, "... I think what [Ripple] called out is the government in the United States, and the SEC particularly, is putting politics ahead of smart policy. Because of that, you’re seeing entrepreneurs going overseas, you’re seeing companies like Ripple – most of our hiring is non-US now. Most of our customers... are non-US. I think it’s kind of to be expected that’s what’s going to happen.”


Read the full article from The Daily HODL +

Tokenization

Tokenized Securities on Ethereum, Polygon, Gnosis Hit $225M Market Cap

A Dune dashboard shows that the niche now boasts a market capitalization of more than $220 million across the six projects measured. Firms like Matrixport, Backed Finance, Ondo, and Franklin Templeton have all created ERC-20 tokens, representing government bonds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).


Read the full article from Decrypt +

Exchanges

Bitpanda Partners With Coinbase to Help Europe’s Banks Offer Crypto to Customers


Austrian-based crypto exchange and trading platform Bitpanda is teaming with Coinbase to connect the US-listed exchange giant with banks in Europe who are looking to offer digital assets to their customers.


Bitpanda’s crypto connectivity is already in place with a number of platforms, such as Austrian traditional lender Raiffeisenlandesbank, European mobile bank N26, French money app Lydia, U.K. fintech Plum and the Italian mobile bank Hype.


Read the full article from CoinDesk +

CBDCs

Visa, Microsoft and others join Brazilian CBDC pilot


Banco Central do Brasil, the country’s central bank, published a final list of CBDC pilot participants. The final number of participants is 14; however, some represent groups of companies. For example, the United States-based tech giant, Microsoft; Brazil-based bank, Banco Inter; and the digital technology company, 7COMm, comprise one of the 14 participants. Among other participants are Visa, Santander, and several Brazilian banking institutions.

Read the full article from Cointelegraph +

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McAlinden Research Partners (MRP) publishes daily and other periodic reports on the economy and the markets.


MRP focuses on identifying change in the global economy and offering an investment thesis whenever an opportunity arises that has not yet been recognized by the market. The DIBs are MRP's compilation of articles and data from multiple sources on subjects reflecting change that have potential investment implications for an industry or group of securities. We share these with our clients who may already have or may be considering exposure in the industries affected. The subjects change daily and constitute an excellent update on featured topics.

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